Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 63891.221634 67627.602560 71371.382043 75401.157457 79613.279816 83883.155391 88535.910071
2025-04-20 57935.866098 63649.300488 69543.020519 76067.914982 83080.066594 90380.187327 98545.456304
2025-04-27 53930.783461 61020.222249 68502.554707 76969.212809 86264.241387 96138.659032 107402.238535
2025-05-04 50603.360328 58699.099788 67409.452947 77446.784462 88661.829366 100774.671065 114813.369252
2025-05-11 47626.178956 56479.516281 66168.148424 77512.264486 90382.767599 104483.328195 121050.191833
2025-05-18 45202.605560 54686.854077 65225.880842 77742.890216 92138.248571 108109.101221 127099.097396
2025-05-25 43026.998459 53028.124660 64299.683586 77863.077206 93656.269613 111379.038168 132680.654070
2025-06-01 41622.238910 52167.920302 64206.317185 78864.192019 96122.120507 115686.389840 139427.218378
2025-06-08 39749.311298 50651.494066 63253.822370 78775.434801 97247.664866 118394.628252 144292.474252
2025-06-15 38736.411992 50104.011634 63393.496062 79930.579365 99800.667304 122746.460292 151075.962628
2025-06-22 37564.513723 49301.448222 63174.113477 80609.449909 101752.905516 126373.531973 157007.142466
2025-06-29 36122.109134 48101.818912 62416.668006 80585.569792 102819.522141 128922.416717 161646.915943
2025-07-06 34708.887168 46898.090351 61622.974801 80496.187592 103800.743666 131382.105236 166218.332512
2025-07-13 33948.160817 46483.757484 61778.059752 81555.676025 106175.897598 135526.254965 172844.521115
2025-07-20 33228.802850 46088.587099 61929.617770 82589.820525 108509.584746 139623.831517 179436.650377
2025-07-27 32320.863081 45412.879955 61695.644050 83113.538987 110192.392625 142921.637167 185064.113810
2025-08-03 31264.781780 44504.544659 61130.588711 83186.922550 111288.418498 145485.552811 189791.828245
2025-08-10 30344.913318 43741.535609 60721.517211 83432.034569 112580.643606 148282.642810 194811.717917
2025-08-17 29425.291349 42946.187037 60241.305995 83559.499128 113704.236340 150860.419973 199562.692505
2025-08-24 28944.935284 42721.752113 60490.182199 84619.508932 116014.316615 154930.062331 206199.076835
2025-08-31 28017.914595 41860.236271 59873.329524 84525.550314 116823.539408 157101.527664 210454.988286
2025-09-07 27662.172908 41767.075331 60264.103864 85748.436241 119335.634787 161438.614688 217469.479082
2025-09-14 27127.017579 41406.783350 60282.357788 86467.028317 121187.440872 164941.015138 223444.473147